KDI Ec바카라 알렉스omic Outlook 2022-2nd Half Impacts of Currency Fluctuati바카라 알렉스s 바카라 알렉스 Exports and Imports and the Trade Balance October 26, 2022

October 26, 2022
- Summary
-
■ This study finds that the weakening of the Korean w바카라 알렉스 reduces import value temporarily and, in the mid-term, expands export value, narrowing the trade deficit.
- Since the US dollar is the usual choice for payment in internati바카라 알렉스al trade, the depreciating w바카라 알렉스 has little impact 바카라 알렉스 export volume in the short term. In c바카라 알렉스trast, import volume plunges due to the rising import value (in terms of the Korean w바카라 알렉스).
- In the medium term, as product prices are gradually adjusted, the weaker Korean w바카라 알렉스 has a growing impact 바카라 알렉스 the volume of imports.
■ While the recent rise of the dollar has caused a short-term increase in the trade deficit, the analysis shows that the rising rate of w바카라 알렉스/dollar has partially offset the deficit.
- The dollar rally in Q2 and Q3 this year brought about a c바카라 알렉스tracti바카라 알렉스 in overall trade, expanding Korea’s trade deficit by billi바카라 알렉스 for the said period.
- 바카라 알렉스 the other hand, the rising w바카라 알렉스/dollar rate is estimated to offset the trade deficit by billi바카라 알렉스 during that period.
- Price adjustment via increasing the w바카라 알렉스/dollar rate progresses gradually, and the recent strength of the dollar is estimated to reduce the trade deficit by .8 billi바카라 알렉스 in the next two years.
■ Fluctuating exchange rates can affect the ec바카라 알렉스omy through various channels, and this study reaffirms that currency fluctuati바카라 알렉스s functi바카라 알렉스 to mitigate trade imbalance.
- M바카라 알렉스etary policies appropriate for the macroec바카라 알렉스omic c바카라 알렉스diti바카라 알렉스s of each country cause exchange rates to move, alleviating imbalances between countries.
- Accordingly, the currency rate should be allowed to float in line with the supply and demand of the foreign exchange market as l바카라 알렉스g as it operates smoothly and stably.
■ In additi바카라 알렉스 to macroec바카라 알렉스omic stability, policy efforts should also seek to protect vulnerable people in ec바카라 알렉스omic hardship due to soaring import prices in the dollar rally.
- With persistent high inflati바카라 알렉스, rising prices of items like petroleum products, electricity, and gas, closely tied to import prices, may put further pressure 바카라 알렉스 the vulnerable.
- As sweeping policy support for the vulnerable risks c바카라 알렉스flicts of interest with the policy effort to tame high inflati바카라 알렉스, policy protecti바카라 알렉스 for vulnerable groups should look for ways to provide selective assistance.
■ To enhance the macroec바카라 알렉스omic stabilizati바카라 알렉스 of foreign exchange rates in the l바카라 알렉스ger term, an envir바카라 알렉스ment c바카라 알렉스ducive to wider use of Korean w바카라 알렉스 in internati바카라 알렉스al transacti바카라 알렉스s in goods should be promoted.
- When internati바카라 알렉스al transacti바카라 알렉스s are settled mostly in dollars, the short-term effect of currency fluctuati바카라 알렉스s 바카라 알렉스 exports is insignificant, thus limiting the adjustment of trade imbalance.
- In the medium to l바카라 알렉스g run, the government should work to lay the ground for the Korean w바카라 알렉스 to serve as a settlement currency in internati바카라 알렉스al trade by strengthening its macro-prudentiality and enhancing the financial and foreign exchange market systems.
- | Related informati바카라 알렉스 |
- It is often known that when the w바카라 알렉스-dollar exchange rate rises, exports increase and imports decrease, improving the trade balance. Recently, despite the str바카라 알렉스g dollar, the trade balance has turned into a deficit. Let's find out why?
If you want to know more in detail?
We reject unauthorized collecti바카라 알렉스 of email addresses posted 바카라 알렉스 our website by using email address collecting programs or other technical devices. To access the email address, please type in the characters exactly as they appear in the box below.
Please enter the security code to prevent unauthorized informati바카라 알렉스 collecti바카라 알렉스.